Publications of Francesco Carravetta

This page shows all publications that appeared in the IASI annual research reports. Authors currently affiliated with the Institute are always listed with the full name.

You can browse through them using either the links of the following line or those associated with author names.

Show all publications of the year  ALL, with author Carravetta F., in the category IASI Research Reports (or show them all):


IASI Research Report n. 11-01  (Previous    Next)  

Francesco Carravetta, Sorge M.M.

On the solution of Markov-switching rational expectation models

ABSTRACT
Forward-looking stochastic systems under rational expectations have emerged as the reference framework in contemporary macroeconomic theory. This paper describes a method for solving a class of rational expectations models under noisy measurement and Markov jump parameters, by specifying the expectations component as a general-measurable function of the observable states of the system, to be determined optimally via stochastic control and filtering theory. Solution existence is proved by setting this function to the regime-dependent feedback control minimizing the mean-square deviation of the equilibrium path from the corresponding perfect-foresight autoregressive Markov jump state motion. As the exact expression of the conditional (rational) expectations term is derived both in finite and infinite horizon model formulations, no (asymptotic) stationarity assumptions are needed to solve forward the system, for only initial values knowledge is required. A simple sufficient condition for the mean-square stability of the obtained rational expectations equilibrium is also provided.
back
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -